Borrowing figures leave George Osborne needing miracle to hit deficit target

Crunch time: George Osborne delivers his Autumn Statement on November 25
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Russell Lynch20 November 2015

“Terrible” borrowing figures have put Chancellor George Osborne on course for embarrassment in next week’s Autumn Statement, amid predictions he could miss his deficit-cutting target by more than £10 billion.

Borrowing during October shot up to £8.2 billion — £1.1 billion higher than the same time last year when most experts were pencilling in a £1.1 billion fall to £6 billion for the month.

In the seven months of the financial year so far cumulative borrowing is £54.3 billion.

While 10.9% below last year, it means the Chancellor now needs a miracle to hit the Office for Budget Responsibility’s £69.5 billion deficit target for the full year.

The Office for National Statistics put the rise almost entirely down to a £2.9 billion rise in central government borrowing over the month.

Pantheon chief UK economist Samuel Tombs said the deficit could hit £80 billion this year, adding that the “terrible borrowing figures provide a grim backdrop to the Autumn Statement”.

He said: “Barring revisions, borrowing would have to be an implausible 48% lower year-over-year in the second half of this fiscal year in order for the current official forecast to be met.”

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